Harvard Housing Study Shows Affordability Hitting Demand for Home Purchases

While supply concerns are still weighing on housing affordability, a combination of soaring prices and economic uncertainty is dragging on housing demand, according to the annual State of Nation’s Housing report from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies (JCHS).

The study noted that the economy added just 116,000 jobs in 2025, the lowest number of new jobs added in a non-recession year since 2002. With consumer sentiment near record lows and interest rates on all loans at generational highs, many young adults are not inclined to form new households, a primary driver of home sales and rentals, instead doubling up or living with family.


But housing supply issues are still a major concern in the market. The JCHS report noted that single-family home starts fell 7% in 2025 as high purchase prices stifled demand and unsold new homes accumulated. Builders responded by cutting prices, buying down interest rates, and pivoting toward smaller homes, townhomes, and smaller lots to reduce costs.


The report also details how federal, state and local officials are quickly moving to address housing supply.


“We’re seeing growing momentum on the part of policymakers to address housing affordability,” said Daniel McCue, JCHS senior research associate, on a conference call discussing the report.


Growing numbers of state and local governments are loosening local zoning and land-use regulations to increase the availability of buildable land.

In 2025, Cambridge, Mass., joined cities such as Cincinnati and Minneapolis in ending single-family only zoning, and Maine followed states such as Washington and Vermont in passing sweeping statewide reforms allowing small multifamily buildings (missing middle housing) on properties zoned for single-family homes.



Building codes also play a big role in hindering supply, according to the report, noting that several states made changes to codes last year, such as allowing single stairwells on small multifamily buildings, that make development easier.


This aligns with a recent trend of states pausing new building code adoption to give builders and officials more time to build to the current code. Connecticut recently passed such a measure after California last year.


Sharon Wilson Géno, president of the National Multifamily Housing Council, noted on the call that many municipalities still have pandemic-era eviction moratoriums in place. This limits developers from spending on new projects and is an issue “that will need to be addressed at the local level.”


In a positive development for the industry, the report notes that remodeling activity is surging. Over the last 10 years, owner home improvement spending grew by 153%, far outpacing growth in spending on new multifamily (84%) and single-family development (90%).


SHARE

By Jami Clevenger July 8, 2026
The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development announced 14 policy changes to its Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Single Family mortgage insurance program aimed at lowering costs, easing regulatory burdens, and improving affordability for Americans using FHA-insured mortgages. The updates remove outdated requirements, cut administrative burdens, and make FHA financing more efficient for home buyers and lenders. The changes affect FHA policies from mortgage origination through servicing and quality control, including: Streamlining Appraisal Field Review Requirements , reducing quality control requirements that average $425 per field review. The change is expected to save industry partners about $3.3 million annually while better aligning FHA with other programs. Expanding Flexibility under the Limited 203(k) Rehabilitation Mortgage Insurance Program , by allowing more contractor draw requests and making home rehabilitation projects easier to complete. Modernizing FHA Mortgagee Approval and Quality Control , including a permanent exemption for early payment defaults caused by natural disasters from required quality control review samples. This will help reduce mortgage costs, expand borrower access, and support smaller lenders’ participation in the FHA program. Eliminating the Duplicative Requirement for Lenders to Use the Important Notice to Homebuyers Form 92900-B , simplifying the closing process. Clarifying Loss Mitigation Requirements Governing Trial Payment Plans , to protect the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, prevent abuse, and ensure proactive borrowers are not penalized.
By Jami Clevenger July 8, 2026
As NAHB recognizes UV Safety Awareness Month in July, it is important for home builders and general contractors to educate workers about the potential risks associated with ultraviolet (UV) radiation and have plans and resources in place to keep them safe on the jobsite.
By Jami Clevenger September 25, 2025
The heating and cooling industry is undergoing a significant transformation as new Environmental Protection Agency regulations take effect to combat climate change. Here's what you need to know about the upcoming refrigerant changes and how they may impact you. What's Changing? Beginning January 1, 2025, manufacturers can no longer produce new HVAC systems using R-410A refrigerant, the most common cooling agent in residential air conditioners and heat pumps. This phase-out is part of the American Innovation and Manufacturing (AIM) Act, which aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by transitioning away from high Global Warming Potential (GWP) refrigerants. R-410A has a GWP of 2,088, meaning it contributes significantly to climate change when released into the atmosphere. The new regulations require all refrigerants in new systems to have a GWP of 700 or less. The New Refrigerants Two environmentally friendly alternatives are replacing R-410A: R-454B (Opteon XL41 or Puron Advance): Provides up to a 78% reduction in global warming potential while maintaining similar cooling performance to R-410A. Most major manufacturers including Carrier, Trane, and Lennox have chosen this as their primary replacement. R-32: Offers up to 12% better efficiency than R-410A systems and has a GWP of approximately 675. Daikin and some other manufacturers have selected R-32 for certain applications. Impact on Homeowners If you have an existing system: You can continue using your current HVAC system without any immediate changes required. Existing equipment is not subject to EPA regulations and can continue to be used through equipment end-of-life. R-410A will remain available for servicing existing systems, though supplies may become more expensive over time. If you're buying a new system: Systems manufactured before January 1, 2025, can still be installed through December 31, 2025, giving consumers a one-year transition period. However, new EPA-compliant systems are expected to cost at least 20% more than current models due to advanced technology and manufacturing requirements. Safety Considerations The new refrigerants are classified as A2L, meaning they have low toxicity but are mildly flammable—much less so than propane or natural gas. New systems include advanced leak detection sensors that automatically shut off the unit and activate ventilation if a leak is detected. Benefits of the Transition Beyond environmental protection, the new refrigerants offer several advantages: Potential utility bill savings of 5-10% due to improved energy efficiency EPA estimates this transition will result in emissions reductions equivalent to up to 876 million metric tons of carbon dioxide from 2025 through 2050 Long-term cost savings through reduced energy consumption Planning Ahead While there's no immediate need to replace functioning systems, homeowners should consider their options carefully. If your current system is aging or inefficient, upgrading before 2025 might offer cost savings, while waiting allows you to invest in the latest environmentally friendly technology. HVAC contractors are receiving specialized training to safely handle the new refrigerants, ensuring professional installation and service continue without interruption. For more information about how these changes might affect your specific situation, consult with a qualified HVAC professional who can assess your current system and discuss your options.
Show More